Blognya Faiz Rafiza Ahmadani | Berbagi Pengetahuan dengan Sesama

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Blog ini dibuat untuk meningkatkan kemampuan menulis saya serta menjadi alat untuk menyebarkan pendapat. This blog was created in order to improve my writing skills and also as a media to spread my opinion.

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A lifelong learner; interested in socio-political, economics, and security issues. Currently studying in the Department of International Relations at Universitas Gadjah Mada.
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Rabu, 31 Juli 2019

The Rise of Hamas and Likud into Power and the Future of Israeli-Palestinian Peace Talks



As one of the most important political party in Palestine, the rise of Hamas into power has truly changed Palestinian political landscape into its current shape. Unlike Fatah who seek to break Palestine from Israel’s rule by pursuing peace talks, Hamas seek to liberate the State of Palestine by using act of violence as its vehicle, which in turn has made them being categorized as a terrorist organization by many countries across the globe, most notably from those in the West (Council on Foreign Relations, 2014). Other than that, major differences between Hamas and Fatah might also including its relationship with religion, in which Fatah proclaim themselves as more secular-leaning whereas Hamas proclaim themselves as the guardian of Islamic values in the Palestinian society and want to turn Palestine into an Islamic state that was governed under the principle of Sharia Law (Schanzer, 2010).

Hasil gambar untuk israeli palestinian
This picture was taken from https://www.bbc.com/news/newsbeat-44124396

This kind of condition that has been aforementioned above has swing the general pendulum of Palestinian politics into more on the right side, and has also led into the resurgence of Likud Party in Israel, which breaks Israel’s strong leftist traditions (Haaretz, 2015). In this particular essay, I would argue and highlighted that the rise of right-leaning party both in Palestine and Israel might hinder the development of peace, especially within the greater context of Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process.

                Based on historical perspective, Hamas or also known as ‘Islamic Resistance Movement’ was founded by Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, one of the most influential Palestinian Islamic preacher during the year of 1987 as a ‘reactionary’ right-leaning, Islamist political force. However, the history of Hamas itself might also be traced way further, as far as the year of 1967 during the period of Six Day War. According to Encyclopedia Britannica (2019), the ideological basis and motives of Hamas was inspired by an Egyptian Islamic movement called the Muslim Brotherhood, otherwise known as Ikhwanul Muslimin or ‘the Ikhwan’ which emphasizing on stricter interpretation of Islamic law and tenets. Born out of frustration of many of Palestine’s political limbo, the organization strives to spread their idea in mosque and university across the country most. This condition was more subtle in Gaza than in the West Bank, which might partially explain the current political splits that has torn the governmental system in Palestine until nowadays.


Hasil gambar untuk hamas gathering

As a political organization, Hamas strive to the liberate Palestine by using the means of violence, which include car bombing, attacking civilian target, suicide bombing, and many more. This kind of action has led them being classified as a ‘foreign terrorist organization’ by the government of United States since 1997 until today (Council on Foreign Relations, 2014).  This condition also led them into clash with Fatah, which prioritize peace talks as the main means of creating an independent Palestinian state.

                Despite being known and designated as a terrorist organization, Hamas also widely known for its social charity work, which in turn increase their popularity from Palestinian plebeians and commoners. Their works include the construction of public facilities such as schools, mosques, and also healthcare center such as hospitals. According to Alijla (2016), the donors for this kind of construction were coming from the countries of the Gulf and from wealthy Arabic individuals. A worth-noting fact regarding Hamas work on charity issues is that they manage to run their activities by anti-corruption approach, which resulted into an increasing efficiency, something that many NGOs might only dream off (Fisher, 2003).

 This perception of Hamas’s ‘cleanliness’ has resulted into an increasing trust by the people of Palestine, especially in the context of rampant corruption that has been severely reducing the effectiveness of Palestinian government. On one hand, this kind of charity conducted by Hamas has been an effective tool for them to be utilized to gather support from the masses, but in other way around, its strong perception with terror and violence has driven out international support and sympathy away from them.


Hasil gambar untuk hamas

                Just like Hamas that loves to portray themselves as the ‘guardian’ of the people, Israel’s Likud Party also like to brand itself as ‘protector’ of Israeli’s national values, the one that was built on the values of Judaism. The rise of Likud into mainstream Israeli political stage is something that needs to be observed clearly, and in some ways might resemble the way that Hamas did in Palestinian politics. According to BBC (2013), Likud’s strongest competitor might be the left-leaning Labor Party, or also known as ‘Ha’avoda’ in Hebrew. In these recent years however, the power of Labor Party has going down significantly especially with the rise of right-leaning parties such as Likud into Israel’s political stage.

According to historical perspective, Likud was founded in 1973 and was constructed on the basis of right-wing policies that include a strong sense of nationalist sentiments. This has led into their strong sentences against the creation of Oslo Accord in 1993. In these recent years, they have been ‘forced’ by other power such as the US to acknowledge the existence of the State of Palestine and to accept the policy of two-state solution (BBC, 2013). As of 2019, Likud has collaborated with other right-leaning party called Yisrael Beitanu in order to maintain their power in the government. As a matter of fact, the current PM of Israel which is Benjamin Netanyahu come from Likud Party and has been in charge of that position since the year of 2009.


Hasil gambar untuk likud

                With the rise of right-leaning parties in both of Israel and also Palestine, I would argue that the creation of peace process for the nearby future would be hindered even way furthermore. This was due to the nature of both of these political parties that is Hamas and Likud, to prioritize their own goal rather than what their predecessor such as Fatah and Labor has did in 1993 during the Oslo Accord. As a matter of fact, Hamas has in many times stated their rejection in the concept of two-state solution, and even when they do so, they refuse to recognize the sovereignty of the State of Israel (DW.com, 2019). Likud on the other hand has also reject the concept of two-state solution in a soft yet subtle approach that is continuing the policy of illegal settlement’s construction in Palestinian territory of West Bank (Cook, 2018). Throughout these recent years, both of these parties have ‘consistently’ refuse to create a peace talks or negotiations among them which resulted in a never-ending political limbo between Israel and Palestine.

                In order to pave a way for the future Israeli-Palestinian peace process, both of these ruling parties needs to reduce their own ‘ego’ and rethinking about their current political stance. On one hand, this kind of approach might help to address the increasing tension between both of these countries but in other way around might damage the future of both of these parties, especially when talking about voter reduction from their electoral bases that was mainly compromise of Conservatives. Thus as a conclusion, even though both parties can actually decide to settle down for peace, their main interests of keeping ‘identity politics’ among their voters would be on the forefront of their priority first and foremost. And as a result, the future of Israeli-Palestinian would remain in the status quo, which is in a state of political deadlock between both of Israel and also Palestine.

References
Alijila, A. (2016). The Unbreakable Relationship: Hamas and the Humanitarian Aid in Gaza. [online] Huffpost.com. Available at: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/abdalhadi-alijla/the-unbreakable-relations_b_11727200.html [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].

BBC News. (2013). Guide to Israel's political parties. [online] Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-21073450 [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Cook, S.A. (2019). Israel Moves to Annex the West Bank—This Is How the Two-State Solution Dies. [online] Council on Foreign Relations. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/blog/israel-moves-annex-west-bank-how-two-state-solution-dies [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Council on Foreign Relations. (2019). Hamas. [online] Available at: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/hamas [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
DW.com. (2017). Hamas recognizes 1967 borders, rejects Israel.  [online] Available at: https://www.dw.com/en/hamas-recognizes-1967-borders-rejects-israel/a-38656798 [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Encyclopedia Britannica. (2019). Hamas | Definition, History, Ideology, & Facts. [online] Available at: https://www.britannica.com/topic/Hamas [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Fisher, I. (2003). Defining Hamas: Roots in Charity and Branches of Violence. [online] The New York Times. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/2003/06/16/world/defining-hamas-roots-in-charity-and-branches-of-violence.html [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Haaretz. (2015). Israeli leftists lurking in the shadows | Opinion. [online] Available at: https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/.premium-israeli-leftists-lurking-in-the-shadows-1.6909711 [Accessed 17 Mar. 2019].
Schanzer, J. (2010). Hamas vs. Fatah. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

The Political Rivalries between Japan and China in the Development of Indonesia’s High-Speed Railway (HSR) Projects


During the presidency of Joko Widodo, there is a massive shift behind governmental policy and regulations in regards to the issue of infrastructure development. Whereas the previous president tend to prioritize upon the issue of economic and political stability, the current administration seems to lenient more towards the importance of infrastructure in order to improve both of Indonesian economic growth as well as its own Global Competitiveness Index. In regards to this, the President has started to lurk on foreign investors in order to achieve his political goal. Example of this might include Japan and China, which currently were competing and being at odd with one and another regarding the issue of ‘High-Speed Railway’ or HSR. In this essay, I would argue that the scheme being offered by China and Indonesia are more feasible; both politically and economically due to its better offering compared to the Japanese one. Taking into accounts on issue such as financial constrain, global political situation, and their commitments, I believe that the participation of China rather than Japan would be more beneficial towards Indonesia itself.

Hasil gambar untuk high speed railway indonesia

On the issue of financial constrain, it might be seen that the participation of Indonesia towards this project was lenient more towards Private-Public Partnerships or PPP due to the lack of governmental budget towards this project. Even though the government has ensured around Rp280.0 trillion for the development of economic infrastructure in its State Budget or APBN in 2016, the numbers were being considered as lacking; especially when one takes into account on the numerous amount of projects that would be taken. As such, in order to push the continuity of this project, the government has pushing for many options such as increasing the participation of State-Owned Enterprises (SOE), revising the State Budget or APBN, and looking out for cooperation; both domestic-sourced and foreign one. China and Japan were quick to fill this vacuum, and currently holds the concession of Jakarta-Bandung HSR and Jakarta-Surabaya HSR respectively.
As has been stated previously, the main focus of Indonesian government within the projects was centered around PPP models, and as such the Chinese offering ‘feels’ more compelling rather than the Japanese one. Whereas the Japanese scheme was being centered on government-to-government policy by involving around the roles of Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA); which is the same funders behind Jakarta MRT and Tanjung Priok Access Toll Road, tends to relies upon government’s guarantee and was being offered as a form of loans. The Chinese model was created upon the basis of cooperation between ‘semi-private’ or private entity, which in this case would give a birth into KCIC (Kereta Api Indonesia-China) as a joint venture between these two countries. The shareholders of KCIC from the Indonesian side are being represented by KAI, WIK, PTPN VII whereas the Chinese one is being represented by China Railway International. By doing such approach, the Indonesian governments has prevents any sort of revision to its current State Budget or APBN, and let alone to take another form of foreign loans.


Gambar terkait
This picture was taken from https://www.caixinglobal.com/2018-10-11/indonesias-china-financed-high-speed-rail-project-off-track-101333896.html

Secondly, on the issue of global political situation, it might be seen that there has been a major shift within the Indonesian foreign policy, especially within the presidency of Joko Widodo. For example, whereas the previous presidency of SBY tends to take the matters of foreign policy by its most priority, the current administration seems to put more of its focus on domestic matters. This condition has led into a more ‘inward’ looking policy rather than the ‘outward’ looking, as have been in this many recent years. Such conditions have put Indonesia’s relations with many of its ‘traditional’ partners and investors such as Australia, United States, and most notably Japan into a difficult situation. As such, the participations of Japan in this project of HSR might also being hindered by current state of Indonesia’s foreign policy directions. Even though Japan still remains one of Indonesia’s most important trading partners; currently sits in the 3rd place both  in exports and imports issue, their days were being outnumbered due to the rise of China within the region of Southeast Asia itself. This has led into a major shift of Indonesian foreign policy, which currently has a pattern towards China.
Due to its rising economic as well as its effort to spread their influences worldwide; both politically and economically, China currently has replaced the positions of Japan as one of Indonesia’s most important partners when it came to the matters of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), especially in the fields of infrastructure. Across all parts of Southeast Asia, the Japanese FDI are being outnumbered by significantly, with the exceptions of Thailand and Vietnam. Ranging from smelter construction in Sulawesi to HST development in Jakarta and Bandung, the roles of Chinese investment in infrastructure projects which in 2018 has achieved around $23.3 billion are here to stay and would remain continuing, at least for the next several years ahead.


Hasil gambar untuk high speed railway indonesia


Lastly, taking into accounts on their commitment towards the construction of this project, it might be seen whereas the Chinese tracks of Jakarta-Bandung have been progressing around 15.03 percent in terms of construction and 96 percent in terms of land acquisition. By utilizing upon newer regulations such as Presidential Regulation No. 30/2015,vi KCIC as private corporations has able to overcome the issue of land acquisition by which currently has hampered many infrastructure projects across many parts of the countries. On the other hand, the Japanese commitment towards this issue were noticeably lacking, considering their delay of feasibility study from March 2018 into April 2018 and as such has raised many question whether they would continuing this HSR project or not.
Based upon the analysis above, which took into accounts on matters such as finance, foreign policy, and political commitment, it might be seen that the  Chinese scheme on this project far outstrip the Japanese one; especially when one take into account about its uncertainty for the future. Within this issue, the Indonesian government has ‘successfully’ taking advantage of both Japan and China, while at the same time figuring out which one is the most suitable one for its own socio-political conditions. It must be noted however, that the Indonesian government must also take into account on rising anti- Chinese sentiment within the significant amount of its own populations and must ensuring the public that this project was being funded based upon Private-Public Partnerships or PPP model rather than constraining the State Budget or APBN itself.

Jumat, 03 Maret 2017